Small Stakes No-Limit Hold'em

Matt Flynn said:

First, it is GREAT that you are winning in non-showdown pots.  This speaks very well for your ability to survive and thrive, as really good players tend to make more in non-showdown pots.

Second, fire up your hand databse and cull out the last 100 all-in hands.  Sift through them.  What is happening?  Are you making too many big bluffs against tight players who have shown strength?  That's a big leak.  Are you overestimating opponents' bluffing frequencies in big pots?  That is a HUGE and very common leak.

In smaller games, most players make few big bluffs as a percentage of their big turn and river bets. Sooo, you shouldn't pay them off.  If you have top pair good kicker, and villain makes a big bet on the turn, pause and think.  What percentage of the time does he have you beat?  Typically this is 80% or more, so you just fold.  You CRUSH him by folding if he does not fold when the situation is reversed.

Matt

One other thing that is happening is I'll get the clueless guy with someting like 62/4 or 8 in the pot with me and he's folded so many hands to my turn or river bets checkcall/raise (on the next street) when I do have a hand and want him to call me down he'll start to get frustrated. I'll get one or two times of him calling me down (sometimes) when I do have a hand but will end up getting called by the guy with bottom pair the one time I am bluffing because he's frustrated that I've been stealing (when up to that point I really haven't) so many pots against him… That scenareo consists of the majority of my showdown losses.

So how do you go about figuring out that the guy is finally frustrated enough with you to make the hero call with bottom pair? I don't want to raise the flop, c-bet get called, check, check and showdown my bluff hands and it's not profitable to follow that line with made hands…Besides I don't really remember the last time that I have played anything following that line. How do you keep from looking weak in that situation? Or would that be a good situation to look weak.  I guess my strong hand line and bluff line need a little balancing. 

Now with that said, pretty much the rest of my showdown losses were a direct result of your last paragraph. And now that I think about it, the majoriy of those times I had TP/TK  or a high pocket pair and instead of me betting into them they were the ones betting into me or at least starting the betting for that round. I'd either check raise the flop, or more often get check raised and then call myself, then to reraise their turn bet, they would either flat call or push. If they flat called, then they shoved the river.