Small Stakes No-Limit Hold'em

Post edited 12:39 pm – March 4, 2010 by Rocketfingers

I tried to sort out at what point a light 3 bet shows an instant profit, I come up with this. My assumptions are intentionally pessimistic.

Math behind 3 betting light:

• Villain opens: 25.8% (22+;A8s+;56s+;KTs+)
• folds: (56o-Qjo;K9-KT;A8-AJ)
• calls 12,5% (less than half of original opening range)
• 4,50$ to 2,25$= 2 to 1 = 50%
• everyone folds SB 95% BB 95% MP 50%
• everyone will fold 45%
• I need to fold out 50% and everyone will fold 45% so its close to instant profit.

Does my calculations correct or I messed up something?