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6:09 pm July 4, 2009
| tagger
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http://www.pokerhand.org/?4438155
hi,guys,i just play on this table for 8 hands,and i have 36 handhistroy of this villian,his stats: vpip : 29 pfr:23 call preflop raise:22 attack to steal: 17 flop to steal:100 cbet flop:25 (1/4) af:3.0 hand sample so small,and turn A come,is that a good card to cbet turn on board like this?and what about the river play? thx!
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1:42 am July 5, 2009
| Rocketfingers
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Two days ago I played a very simillar hand, I fired 3 barrels and the guy looked me up w A3 I like your play until the river but stopping here is a bit sily I think. Just stop and think about his range on the river. His strong hands are sets and fullhouses both of these hands would raise u at some point or at least its very likely. His medium hands are top pairs and two pairs, he cant be confident with any of these hands b/c u can have a set or fullhouse or a better two pair. His weak hands are pocket pairs and if he calls a big river barrel w pocket tens you will get your money back real fast I think u should bet 28$ on the river and hope he folds.
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8:03 am July 5, 2009
| karbyn
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I disagree. Any bet is a bluff. Because of the pair on board and the king, he'll look you up with any ace. I don't think you have much folding equity here.
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10:20 am July 5, 2009
| Rocketfingers
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I think tagger was thinking about a bluff. I never said he wont look you up with an ace but he just called pre-flop so its likely he dont have AK-AQ, and he called the flop and usually weak players dont call the flop with 2 overs but call with pairs, plus if he has A9 there is a possibility that he will fold that to a pot river bet, I admit its a small chance but it would be a mistake to elliminate it, and an Ace is just a small part of his range and there is a chance he would raise the turn with like AJ b/c of the draws. Another pro for betting the river is b/c you open up yourself for exploitation if you only fire 2 barrels. I see only one reason b/c you shouldnt bet this river is that all draws are missed and u r ahead of missed draws but thats only one point for checking.
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